IMF raises global economic growth forecast for 2026

Kira Aronova
Kira Aronova Journalist
IMF raises global economic growth forecast for 2026
International Monetary Fund
The International Monetary Fund has revised its expectations for global economic development, noting moderately optimistic trends for the world's leading economies.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has improved its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, which is 0.2 percentage points higher than in last October's assessment. This is stated in the Fund's analytical blog, which notes that the main contribution to the revision of the forecast was made by the economies of the United States and China. At the same time, the IMF expects global growth to slow to 3.2% in 2027.

The Fund explains the positive dynamics by active investments in technology, fiscal and monetary support, favourable financial conditions and high adaptability of the private sector, which partially offsets changes in global trade policy. According to the IMF forecast, global inflation will gradually decline, although in the United States, the return to the target level will be slower. Among the main risks, the Fund cites a possible reassessment of the effect of technological development and the escalation of geopolitical tensions. At the same time, the IMF forecasts US economic growth of 2.4% in 2026 and 2% in 2027, China's growth of 4.5% and 4% respectively, and the eurozone's growth of 1.3% this year and 1.4% next year.

IMF, global economy, forecast, US economy, Chinese economy

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