Over 40 per cent of Poles consider military aid to Ukraine to be excessive

Dmitro Shevchuk
Dmitro Shevchuk Executive Editor
Over 40 per cent of Poles consider military aid to Ukraine to be excessive
Respondents were asked how, with the benefit of hindsight, they assessed the scale of the military aid that Poland had provided to Ukraine.
Almost 45 per cent of Poles believe that Poland provided too much military aid to Ukraine following the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion. At the same time, over a third of those surveyed described the level of support as adequate.

This is evidenced by a SW Research survey commissioned by Onet.

Respondents were asked how, with the benefit of hindsight, they assessed the scale of the military aid that Poland had provided to Ukraine.

The largest proportion of respondents — 44.8 per cent — said that the aid was too much. A further 38.2 per cent believe that the scale of support was appropriate.

Only 6.8 per cent of respondents stated that Poland had provided too little military aid to Ukraine. 10.2 per cent chose the response ‘difficult to say’.

The survey was conducted on 8 July 2026 using the CAWI (Computer-Assisted Web Interview) method via the SW Panel. The survey involved 809 adult respondents from across Poland. The sample was representative in terms of gender, age and size of place of residence.

Why this has become a topic of discussion in Poland

The survey was published against the backdrop of a heated political debate in Poland regarding aid to Ukraine. The controversy was fuelled by statements concerning the transfer of missiles for the Patriot systems to Ukraine.

Following this, the Polish Ministry of Defence disclosed some data on military aid to Ukraine for the period 2022–2026. According to the Polish Ministry of Defence, the total value of military aid provided to Ukraine amounted to 16.45 billion zlotys. Of this amount, 1.55 billion zlotys is allocated for the years 2024–2026.

What exactly did Poland supply?

According to the Polish Ministry of Defence, Warsaw supplied Ukraine with T-72 tanks, PT-91 and Leopard 2A4 tanks, armoured personnel carriers, infantry fighting vehicles, MiG-29 aircraft, Mi-2 helicopters, missile launchers, and artillery, tank and mortar ammunition.

Separately, Defence Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz confirmed the transfer of PAC-3 missiles for the Patriot systems to Ukraine. He stated that the decision was taken following consultations with allies, and that the quantity transferred “does not affect Poland’s air defence capabilities”.

The Polish minister also emphasised that every transfer of arms to Ukraine had taken place following an analysis by the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces. According to him, supporting Ukraine is a strategic priority for Poland, as “the frontier of Polish security lies on the Ukrainian-Russian front”.

What do these figures mean?

The survey results show that Polish public opinion is becoming increasingly polarised on the issue of military support for Ukraine. Although the largest group of respondents described the aid as excessive, the proportion of those who consider it adequate is only 6.6 percentage points lower.

In other words, this is not a matter of unanimous opinion, but rather a division in public opinion. For Poland, this issue is becoming part of the domestic political struggle, particularly against the backdrop of debates on security, defence spending and the transfer of expensive weapons systems.

Since the start of the full-scale invasion, Poland has been one of Ukraine’s key military and logistical partners. A significant proportion of Western aid passes through its territory, and the Polish hub in Rzeszów has become one of the main supply routes for weapons and humanitarian aid.

At the same time, a new poll suggests that support for Ukraine in Poland may increasingly depend on domestic politics and voter sentiment. This is precisely why public disputes over the Patriot system, the scale of donations and the cost of aid may influence not only the Polish debate but also future decisions regarding support for Kyiv.

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