Putin doesn’t have long left
Against the backdrop of intensified Ukrainian strikes on strategic targets within Russia, attention in the Western media is growing regarding the possible consequences for Vladimir Putin’s regime.
A Forbes article notes that the situation for the Kremlin is becoming more complicated on several fronts. Key factors cited include Ukrainian drone attacks on military, energy and fuel infrastructure, problems with fuel supplies, and growing public discontent.
The author devotes particular attention to the situation in occupied Crimea. According to the source’s estimates, strikes on logistics and infrastructure have left the peninsula facing serious problems with fuel supplies. It is noted that the Kerch Bridge remains one of the key supply routes.
Against the backdrop of the attacks, videos of strikes on military, energy and fuel facilities in various regions, including areas near Moscow, are appearing with increasing frequency in Russia. Reports of petrol shortages in certain regions of the country are also circulating.
The article also mentions rising tensions within Russian society. In particular, the author draws attention to public statements by Russian military bloggers who criticise the situation and warn of the risks of internal destabilisation.
Observers note that, as pressure mounts, the question of how the Russian elite will respond is becoming increasingly significant. According to the author, as the situation escalates, so too do the internal risks for the Kremlin.
The article also mentions the security agencies responsible for the safety of the Russian leadership, notably the FSB, the Rosgvardia and other units. The author points out that the balance between these agencies has traditionally been a key element of the system of power in Russia.
Among the potential factors that could intensify pressure on the Kremlin are new large-scale Ukrainian attacks, worsening economic problems, resource shortages, regional instability and foreign policy risks.
The article also notes that how the situation develops will depend on the course of the war, the internal resilience of the Russian system and the Kremlin’s ability to respond to growing challenges.