# Russia
Russia may attempt to attack Europe in the very near future
In Sweden, it is believed that Russia may attempt to test NATO’s unity and the Alliance’s readiness to fulfil its collective defence commitments. According to Swedish experts, such a scenario is possible in the relatively near future.
The Kremlin has written off a further half a billion dollars of debt owed by the regions to avoid default – intelligence sources
The Russian government has written off budget debts owed by a further six regions of the country, totalling 37.5 billion roubles (around $525 million). Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service believes that Moscow is attempting to avoid a “live default” in this way.
Russian sabotage groups have become less active along the border
Russian forces have scaled back their use of sabotage and reconnaissance units near the border with Ukraine. Instead, the occupying forces are increasingly deploying infantry units in an attempt to create a so-called ‘buffer zone’
A dam has burst in the Kuban region: a state of emergency has been declared in Russia
A state of emergency has been declared in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai following the breach of a dam on the Kuban River. The floodwaters are inundating towns and villages and thousands of hectares of farmland
Hundreds of Russian soldiers underwent training in China before being deployed to the front
European Union intelligence services have received confirmation that hundreds of Russian military personnel underwent training on Chinese territory. Following the exercises, some of them took part in hostilities against Ukraine
Zelenskyy assessed the situation in Russia and made a prediction regarding a future agreement
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has stated that Ukrainian intelligence is receiving reports of growing dissatisfaction among Russians with Vladimir Putin. According to him, the domestic situation in Russia can only get worse as the war against Ukraine continues
The Russian Black Sea Fleet may be relocated from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk
The Russian command is considering relocating part of the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s command structure from the temporarily occupied city of Sevastopol to Novorossiysk. This may be due to regular strikes on the occupiers’ military infrastructure in Crimea
Drone attack on Russia: the Azot plant catches fire in the Tula region
On the night of 13–14 June, drones attacked several regions in Russia. In the Tula Oblast, a fire broke out following a strike on the grounds of the Novomoskovsk Azot chemical plant
Russia has started imposing petrol rationing: what is happening at petrol stations in Moscow and St Petersburg
In Russia’s largest cities, drivers have been faced with limits on fuel purchases. Some petrol station chains in Moscow and St Petersburg have already imposed restrictions on the sale of petrol and diesel
The Ukrainian Armed Forces have struck at the occupiers' crossing points near Crimea
The Ukrainian military has launched fresh strikes against the Russian army’s supply routes in the occupied south. Following the damage to the Chongar and other bridges, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have struck another key transport artery and a pontoon bridge that the occupiers had set up to restore traffic
An attempt was made to blow up Andriy Pinchuk, the former head of the "DPR Ministry of State Security"
An assassination attempt has been made on Andriy Pinchuk, the former head of the so-called "DPR Ministry of State Security", in New Moscow. He was sent a parcel containing explosives, but survived the blast
Russia is losing its influence in the South Caucasus
Political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko believes that Russia is gradually losing ground in the South Caucasus, and the results of the Armenian elections have provided further evidence of this trend. At the same time, in his view, Europe is increasingly seeking its own responses to security challenges, whilst NATO is undergoing a period of transformation.
